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Posts from the ‘300 years of Climate Change’ Category

May 5

earth

Baffled German Government Concedes “Global Warming Has Stopped”

P. Gosselin — NoTricksZone — May 5, 2013

Green Radio of the Umweltbundesamt – UBA - (German Federal Department of the Environment) recently had a radio interview with Henrik Kirchhof, some climate expert for the UBA I guess. Topic: Why has there been no warming in 15 years?

The German government finally concedes.

The host of the interview starts by telling the audience that “climate scientists have come under pressure because the average temperature indeed has not risen in 15 years“. Kirchhof:

In the years leading up to the year 2000, the temperature curve rose very sharply. But since then it isn’t rising so, in fact it’s not rising at all, the curve. The average temperature has stagnated at a very high level – we sort of have a plateau, and that during a time when CO2 emissions have risen considerably.”

Kirchhof then claims the 15-year period of stagnation is indeed relatively short, and, to add authority to this, Prof. Jochem Marotzke of the warmist Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg provides an audio comment:

What we are seeing here is a relatively short-term fluctuation, If one really wants to know how CO2 and global temperature are related, then you have to look at a longer time period.”  Continue reading, here….

May 1

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Global Warming Alarm: Continued Cooling May Jeopardize Climate Science And Green Energy Funding

Larry Bell — Forbes — April 30, 2013

The past 17 years of flat global temperatures are creating a big chill for lots of global warming doom-premised industries. Those experiencing cold sweats must certainly include legions of climate scientists who have come to depend upon the many tens of billions of taxpayer bucks for studies that would have little demand without a big crisis for the public to worry about. And that amount pales in comparison with the hundreds of $ billions we spend on generous subsidies, lost tax revenues and inflated consumer costs for otherwise non-competitive “green energy” industries which depend upon those scary climate reports, or the insane economic penalties imposed  upon all segments through EPA’s climate-premised regulatory rampage.

Cooler temperatures blow ill-winds for government bureaucrats, crony-capitalist rent- seekers, and other hucksters whose ambitions depend upon hot air.  Even Western Europe, the cradle of carbon-caused climate craziness and cap-and-trade corruption, is feeling a cold draft. As Alister Doyle, reporting from Reuters in Oslo, recently observed: “Weak economic growth and the pause in warming is undermining governments’ willingness to make a rapid billion-dollar shift from fossil fuels. Almost 200 governments have agreed to work out a plan by the end of 2015 to combat global warming.”

In April, the Parliament in Strasbourg voted against artificially propping up the price of Emission Trading System carbon permit prices following the collapse of energy demand in connection with the Continent’s economic crisis. While the low price of carbon allowances is great for energy customers, you can be assured that it is viewed very differently by so-called “renewable” energy and carbon credit trading promoters who depend upon higher-than-market fossil fuel prices to stay in business.  The Parliament’s veto reflects encouraging recognition that unwarranted, economy-ravaging carbon rationing is a feverish folly.

Gosh…Where Did All of Those Expensive Climate Models Go Wrong?

 Continue reading, here….

Apr 30

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The next big freeze could last 250 years: Experts say Sun’s activity wanes every 200 years – and the next ‘cooling period’ is due by 2040

Daily Mail.online — April 30, 2013

  • Russian scientists believe the Sun emits less heat every 200 years
  • Cooling period could cause Earth’s temperature to fall by several degrees
  • Last time was between 1650 and 1850, known as the ‘Little Ice Age’
  • The period of low solar activity could start between 2030 and 2040

Forget global warming – the Earth may soon be plunged into a 250-year cooling period, scientists have claimed.   Russian climate experts believe that every 200 years the Sun’s activity temporarily wanes and it emits less heat.

They believe this ‘cooling period’ could cause the earth’s average temperature to fall by several degrees.   The last time this occurred was between 1650 and 1850 – a period known as the ‘Little Ice Age’.

At the time, most of Britain’s rivers would freeze over during the bitter winters.   Contemporary paintings show people could even cross the Thames using ice skates.

The next ‘cooling period’ is scheduled to start between 2030 and 2040.

But scientists from Pulkovo Observatory in St Petersburg think the cold period is unlikely to be as harsh as the last one. 

Researcher Yuri Nagovitsyn said: ‘Evidently, solar activity is on the decrease.   ‘In this respect, we could be in for a cooling period that lasts 200 to  250 years.  Continue reading, here….

 
 

 

Apr 28

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This is Basic Grade School Science But it’s Something That Escapes the Wind Industry

(While the wind industry is intent on ploughing down forests and ecosystems to build their industrial machines, the rest of the world has clued in to that disastrous policy. — DQ)

Plants slow climate change by forming cloud sunshade, study finds

OSLO: Plants help to slow climate change by emitting gases as temperatures rise that lead to the formation of a sunshade of clouds over the planet, scientists said on Sunday.

The tiny sun-dimming effect could offset about one per cent of warming worldwide and up to 30 per cent locally such as over vast northern forests in Siberia, Canada or the Nordic nations, they wrote in the journal Nature Geoscience.

While proportionally small, some scientists said the study provided further evidence of the importance of protecting forests, which help to slow climate change by absorbing greenhouse gases as they grow and to preserve wildlife.

Observations of forests from 11 sites around the world showed that plants emitted tiny particles that float on the wind as temperatures warm and act as seeds for water droplets that create clouds, they wrote.

Clouds’ white tops in turn reflect sunlight back into space and offset warming, they wrote.

The study focused on forests in Europe, North America, Russia and southern Africa. The effect is believed to be smaller over far hotter tropical forests such as in the Amazon or the Congo basin.

“Forests are providing an additional cooling. This is another reason why we should conserve and protect forests,” said Dominick Spracklen, an expert on plants and climate change at the University of Leeds who was not involved in the study.

But the damaging effects of warming on forests, such as more wildfires or insect pests, may exceed tiny benefits of more clouds that would only come from healthy forests, he said.

Spracklen said plants’ cooling effect was tantalising evidence for people who believe the planet somehow acts as a self-regulating organism for life, sometimes known as the Gaia hypothesis.   Read full article here…..

Apr 1

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Wind farms could become ‘monuments of a failed civilisation’, top environmentalist claims

Thanks to the Laois Wind Energy Awareness Group for this one.

Haley Dixon — The Telegraph — February 2013

Professor James Lovelock, 93, a founding father of the Green movement, is famous for inventing “Gaia Theory” and predicting global warming would wipe out four fifths of the world’s population by 2100.

But he has now expressed despair that the original intentions of the movement have been misconstrued as a license to cast aside our “priceless ecological heritage”.

In recent years the scientist has outraged many followers after becoming an advocate of nuclear power and a staunch opponent of wind energy.

Prof Lovelock is protesting against a single turbine at Witherdon Wood, Broadwoodwidger. It is believed he lives or has a property 43 miles away near Barnstaple.

In a letter to Torridge District Council, his local planning authority, Professor Lovelock wrote: “I am an environmentalist and founder member of the Greens but I bow my head in shame at the thought that our original good intentions should have been so misunderstood.

“We never intended a fundamentalist Green movement that rejected all energy sources other than renewable, nor did we expect the Greens to cast aside our priceless ecological heritage because of their failure to understand that the needs of the Earth are not separable from human needs.”

The veteran environmentalist added: “We need to take care that the spinning windmills do not become like the statues on Easter Island – monuments of a failed civilisation.”  Continue reading, here…..

Mar 29

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It’s the cold, not global warming, that we should be worried about

Fraser Nelson — The Telegraph — March 28, 2013

No one seems upset that in modern Britain, old people are freezing to death as hidden taxes make fuel more expensive

A few months ago, a group of students in Oslo produced a brilliant spoof video that lampooned the charity pop song genre. It showed a group of young Africans coming together to raise money for those of us freezing in the north. “A lot of people aren’t aware of what’s going on there right now,” says the African equivalent of Bob Geldof. “People don’t ignore starving people, so why should we ignore cold people? Frostbite kills too. Africa: we need to make a difference.” The song – Africa for Norway – has been watched online two million times, making it one of Europe’s most popular political videos.

The aim was to send up the patronising, cliched way in which the West views Africa. Norway can afford to make the joke because there, people don’t tend to die of the cold. In Britain, we still do. Each year, an official estimate is made of the “excess winter mortality” – that is, the number of people dying of cold-related illnesses. Last winter was relatively mild, and still 24,000 perished. The indications are that this winter, which has dragged on so long and with such brutality, will claim 30,000 lives, making it one of the biggest killers in the country. And still, no one seems upset.

Somewhere between the release of the 1984 Band Aid single and Al Gore’s 2006 documentary An Inconvenient Truth, political attention shifted away from such problems. The idea of people (especially old people) dying in their homes from conditions with which we are all familiar now seems relatively boring. Much political attention is still focused on global warming, and while schemes to help Britain prepare for the cold are being cut, the overseas aid budget is being vastly expanded. Saving elderly British lives has somehow become the least fashionable cause in politics.

The reaction to the 2003 heatwave was extraordinary. It was blamed for 2,000 deaths, and taken as a warning that Britain was horribly unprepared for the coming era of snowless winters and barbecue summers. The government’s chief scientific officer, Sir David King, later declared that climate change was “more serious even than the threat of terrorism” in terms of the number of lives that could be lost. Such language is never used about the cold, which kills at least 10 times as many people every winter. Before long, every political party had signed up to the green agenda.

Since Sir David’s exhortations, some 250,000 Brits have died from the cold, and 10,000 from the heat. It is horribly clear that we have been focusing on the wrong enemy. Instead of making sure energy was affordable, ministers have been trying to make it more expensive, with carbon price floors and emissions trading schemes. Fuel prices have doubled over seven years, forcing millions to choose between heat and food – and government has found itself a major part of the problem.  Continue reading, here…..

Mar 24

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The Engineer Behind the Climate Change Train Wreck

Leslie Eastman — Legal Insurrection — March 24, 2013

Last week, we took a look at 2 graphic debunking recent climate change hysteria.

Recently, even more evidence was presented by British scientist David Whitehouse, the Science Editor of the Global Warming Policy Foundation. Despite the organization’s name, Whitehouse’s group held firm that their data indicate no warming trend; in fact, global temperatures are at a decade-long standstill.

Their original assertions were met with the usual vitriolic scorn and disbelief faced by all “deniers”. Yet, they fought back and prevailed: Britain’s Met Office, “a congenitally warmist organization”, was eventually forced to concede that have not risen or otherwise changed significantly for the past 10 years.

A.K. Haart of the Orphans of Liberty offers some thoughts about what the findings mean:

The most delightful thing about the climate train wreck is that it is happening so slowly….

One by one, Mother Nature hoists the liars by their own petard, but she isn’t rushing at it like an amateur. Oh no – this is a finely honed professional job. Her knives are sharp and the day is long.

She is taking her time, season by season, year by year. Clearly in no hurry, one might almost think she is enjoying herself. I certainly am.

Her cruelty is the stuff of legend – red in tooth and claw and all that, but I never thought she would sink her mighty talons into the plump, quivering flesh of climate alarmists – not in such a deliciously heartless way.

Via Glenn Reynolds comes an article that features the background on the engineer behind the first phase of this train wreck, “Climategate”. Many will recall that much of the initial skepticism about man-made global warming stems from a leaker who shared email communications between prominent international researchers within the U.K.’s University of East Anglia Climate Research Unit (CRU) network.  Continue reading, here….

Mar 23

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Earth Hour Is a Colossal Waste of Time—and Energy

Plus, it ignores how electricity has been a boon for humanity.

Bjorn Lomborg — Slate.com — March 17, 2013

On the evening of March 23, 1.3 billion people will go without light at 8:30—and at 9:30, and at 10:30, and for the rest of the night—just like every other night of the year. With no access to electricity, darkness after sunset is a constant reality for these people.

At the same time, another 1 billion people will participate in “Earth Hour” by turning off their lights from 8:30-9:30.

The organizers say that they are providing a way to demonstrate one’s desire to “do something” about global warming. But the reality is that Earth Hour teaches all the wrong lessens, and it actually increases CO2 emissions. Its vain symbolism reveals exactly what is wrong with today’s feel-good environmentalism.

Earth Hour teaches us that tackling global warming is easy. Yet, by switching off the lights, all we are doing is making it harder to see.

Notice that you have not been asked to switch off anything really inconvenient, like your heating or air-conditioning, television, computer, mobile phone, or any of the myriad technologies that depend on affordable, plentiful energy electricity and make modern life possible. If switching off the lights for one hour per year really were beneficial, why would we not do it for the other 8,759?  Continue reading, here….

Mar 23

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Earth Hour Plays on Climate Change Fears say Friends of Science

Environmental Expert.com — March 22, 2013

Calgary, Alberta, Canada (PRWEB) March 22, 2013 — Earth Hour purports to unite people to protect the planet. Friends of Science argue that most climate policies driven by global warming rhetoric have denigrated the scientific method and caused more harm than good, creating ‘heat or eat’ poverty.

“For sixty years people have been sitting alone in the dark for an hour to ‘celebrate’ Earth Hour,” says Ken Gregory, a director of Friends of Science and author of several papers on climate science. “It’s a dubious celebration when it was science and technology that brought humanity out of darkness into light.”

Friends of Science Society has a growing community of supporters, led by a group of retired and active earth and atmospheric scientists who have been doing critical review of climate research papers for the past decade.

Their conclusion is that the sun is the main driver of climate change, not human activity and fossil fuel use; not carbon dioxide (CO2).

Peter Burns, vice-president of Friends of Science suggests people should celebrate inexpensive energy from fossil fuels and human scientific achievement on Earth Day.

“In the 1600’s Galileo built on the work of Copernicus and showed the earth moved around the sun. His ideas were rejected at the time, but were later shown to be true,” says Burns.

Burns notes that the Vatican found the science of the universe to be so worthy of study that it established what is today one of the oldest astronomical centers of research in the world.

In 1613, Galileo published a book of drawings about the sunspot activity he observed and the pictures can run as a ‘flip book’ showing the how the spots tracked across the sun. Sunspot activity today is seen as a predictor of magnetic field influences.

The Vatican publishes scientific papers and books on a wide variety of astronomical topics, and has their own on-line bookstore.

“Now we learn there’s been no global warming for 17 years; as recently admitted byRajendre Pachauri the chairperson of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC),” says Gregory.

“It is the solar magnetic flux that is the principle driver of climate change on earth and was the main cause of 20th century global warming,” says Gregory. “Solar irradiance is known as the ‘solar constant’ and doesn’t change much, but it is the only solar change considered by the IPCC. The total solar influences on climate are seven times that of changes in the solar constant.”

“Our earth is precious,” says Burns. “We must not waste precious resources on faulty science by diverting valuable money and energy to carbon capture, carbon reduction schemes and carbon trades.”   Continue reading, here….

Mar 20

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The Great Green Con no. 1: The hard proof that finally shows global warming forecasts that are costing you billions were WRONG all along

David Rose — Daily Mail — March 16, 2013

No, the world ISN’T getting warmer (as you may have noticed). Now we reveal the official data that’s making scientists suddenly change their minds about climate doom. So will eco-funded MPs stop waging a green crusade with your money? Well… what do YOU think?

The Mail on Sunday today presents irrefutable evidence that official predictions of global climate warming have been catastrophically flawed.

The graph on this page blows apart the ‘scientific basis’ for Britain reshaping its entire economy and spending billions in taxes and subsidies in order to cut emissions of greenhouse gases. These moves have already added £100 a year to household energy bills.

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Steadily climbing orange and red bands on the graph show the computer predictions of world temperatures used by the official United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

The estimates – given with 75 per cent and 95 per cent certainty – suggest only a five per cent chance of the real temperature falling outside both bands.

But when the latest official global temperature figures from the Met Office are placed over the predictions, they show how wrong the estimates have been, to the point of falling out of the ‘95 per cent’ band completely.

The graph shows in incontrovertible detail how the speed of global warming has been massively overestimated. Yet those forecasts have had a ruinous impact on the bills we pay, from heating to car fuel to huge sums paid by councils to reduce carbon emissions.

The eco-debate was, in effect, hijacked by false data. The forecasts have also forced jobs abroad as manufacturers relocate to places with no emissions targets.

A version of the graph appears in a leaked draft of the IPCC’s landmark Fifth Assessment Report due out later this year. It comes as leading climate scientists begin to admit that their worst fears about global warming will not be realised.   Continue reading, here….

 

Mar 19

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Climate change to worsen hurricane storm surge by the END of the CENTURY! Are they KIDDING??

Climate change to worsen hurricane storm surge

Doyle Rice — USA Today — March 18, 2013

The USA could see a storm like Hurricane Katrina every two years.

Could the USA deal with a Hurricane Katrina every two years?

Such a scenario is possible by the end of the century due to climate change, according to a study published Monday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

The frequency of extreme storm surges — the deadly and devastating walls of water that roar ashore during hurricanes — is projected to increase by as much as 10 times in coming decades because of warming temperatures, the study finds. Global warming has already doubled the chance of storms like Katrina, according to the study, which was led by climate scientist Aslak Grinsted of the University of Copenhagen in Denmark.

Storm surge is typically the biggest killer from hurricanes, and also usually causes the most destruction: Katrina killed more than 1,800 people and caused $125 billion in damage, mostly from storm surge, while Sandy last year killed dozens and caused at least $50 billion in damages.

Grinsted’s research shows that there will be a tenfold increase in frequency of storm surges if the climate becomes 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit warmer. “This means that there will be a ‘Katrina’ magnitude storm surge every other year,” he says.

Continue reading, here…..

Mar 14

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Climate Change: Big Lie Exposed in Oslo

Roland Seguin, Langley Advance — March 14, 2013

University of Oslo study concludes that changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging: 11-12 months behind changes in sea surface temperatures; 9.5-10 months behind changes in air surface temperatures; nine months behind changes in lower troposphere temperatures.

Changes in ocean temperatures explain a substantial part of the observed changes in atmospheric CO2 since January 1980.

Changes in atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emissions.

This is repeated proof that CO2 does not cause warming/climate change.  Continue reading, here….

 

Mar 10

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From WUWT — Blaming Nature for poor climate model performance

Anthony Watts — WUWT — March 7, 2013

There’s not much I can say about this quote from the Washington Post’s Joel Achenbach as it stands on its own quite well.

The context of this quote is article on the bust of a forecast that was to be “snowquester”. You can cut the disappointment in the air with a steak knife. Achenbach muses:

 

Still, I blame the storm more than I blame the computer models. The models are pretty good. It’s Nature that messed this up.

I hope he escapes from his alternate reality soon, people must be looking for him.

Full story here:http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/achenblog/wp/2013/03/07/forecasts-and-probabilities/

h/t to Willis E.

UPDATE: Some people think he was being sarcastic or humorous. For example, from this part:

“I thought the forecast for Snowquester was pretty good, as total busts and epic fiascos go.” is clear as day, but I’ll translate for you:  The forecasters gave it a good shot, but it wasn’t good enough.  It was a total bust.

But there is also this:

The models in this case predicted serious snow in the I-95 corridor, but the storm “underperformed,” and didn’t drop snow intensely enough and consistently enough to cool down the warm layer of the atmosphere and the warm ground in the urban areas.

The storm “underperformed”.   Continue reading, here….

Mar 9

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Climate Change Cools off

John Hayward – Red State — March 8, 2013

These are not happy times for the Church of Global Warming, which has been trying to repackage its manufactured hysteria as “climate change” for several years.  But according to the New York Times on Thursday, we’ve actually come full circle to where we began in the Seventies: global cooling.

After some flapdoodle about global temperature spikes (in fact, not only is there no evidence connecting human activity to any such spike, most recent data says there wasn’t much of a “spike,” and what heating occurred mostly leveled out a decade ago) and quoting the ridiculous Michael Mann of “hockey stick graph hoax” fame as an “expert,” the Times casually drops the same narrative that global-warming cultists have decried as heresy for the past thirty years:

Though the paper is the most complete reconstruction of global temperature, it is roughly consistent with previous work on a regional scale. It suggests that changes in the amount and distribution of incoming sunlight, caused by wobbles in the earth’s orbit, contributed to a sharp temperature rise in the early Holocene.

The climate then stabilized at relatively warm temperatures about 10,000 years ago, hitting a plateau that lasted for roughly 5,000 years, the paper shows. After that, shifts of incoming sunshine prompted a long, slow cooling trend.

The cooling was interrupted, at least in the Northern Hemisphere, by a fairly brief spike during the Middle Ages, known as the Medieval Warm Period. (It was then that the Vikings settled Greenland, dying out there when the climate cooled again.)

Scientists say that if natural factors were still governing the climate, the Northern Hemisphere would probably be destined to freeze over again in several thousand years. “We were on this downward slope, presumably going back toward another ice age,” Dr. Marcott said.

Instead, scientists believe the enormous increase in greenhouse gases caused by industrialization will almost certainly prevent that.

Wait, what?  Sunlight affects global temperatures?  Who could have seen that coming?   Continue reading, here….

Mar 9

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Human-caused Climate change less than expected

Paul C. Knappenberger —  The Cato Institute — March 6, 2013

President Obama is determined to do something about global warming, telling Congress in his State of the Union address that if they won’t act on it, he will.

The president’s refrain is familiar, but unfortunate. Obama continues to ignore new science suggesting that the threat posed by human-caused climate change is substantially less than previously thought.

Obama’s brand-new pick to head the EPA, Gina McCarthy, is a fresh signal that the administration favors knee-jerk policies to restrict emissions, even when they are unsupported by available data and would hamper the economic recovery.

Congress, with its wait-and-see attitude, has taken the right approach. Now, if only the president and his EPA would see the light.

A good place to start is a just-published study by a research team led by Dr. Peter Stott, a climate expert from the U.K.’s Met Office Hadley Center, which finds that climate model projections of an alarming temperature rise are inconsistent with past observations.

“New science is telling us that the old science was unjustifiable and overly extreme.”

When Stott and his colleagues forced the amount of global warming predicted by climate models to equal the amount of warming that has actually been observed, the future temperature rise projected to accompany human greenhouse gas emissions dropped rather substantially. In other words, the better climate models match the past, the less scary the future looks.

Big surprise: My colleagues and I published the same thing in the scientific literature more than 10 years ago.  Continue reading, here….

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